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1/4 Pole
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Post subject: Monday Philly Race 1 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 11:01 am |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 1:21 pm Posts: 71536
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I don't have many strong opinions for today's racing at Philly but it's going to be a pip while groping for a number.
Everybody is touting Laurel shipper FRENCH MOON but this guy got his doors blown off last out at odds-on with similar at today's distance. A horse that's "overdue" at zip to five could be a bad wager even though he's 3 for 5 going 5 & 1/2 furlongs.
WAKING UP comes off the layoff, drops a ton, and the works are improving nicely. And you get "twofers" with the entry.
CAROLUS MAGNUS took some cash off the layup and clunked. May go better second time with Hampshire up.
Third off the layup for Lump CAT NIP DENNY for some low-key connections. This guy has beaten much better in the past.
_________________ The race doesn't always go to the swift and the strong but that's the way to bet.
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Jeebs
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Post subject: Re: Monday Philly Race 1 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 12:49 pm |
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Joined: Thu May 28, 2009 7:08 pm Posts: 2191
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I'm not a French Moon fan, despite the drop into conditioned claimers. Too many disappointments at short odds to have confidence. Pass. Carolus Maximus doesn't inspire much confidence coming off that 20 Beyer. Problems?
I'm thinking that the late runners are the way to go in here. D' Wild Affair (#2) is off the bench, but could win by attrition. An improvement into the Beyer 60s would be enough. Cat Nip Denny (#7) could figure things out, especially if the front falls apart. Punto Fijo (#1) could pick off his stablemate turning for home.
No absolutes here.
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1/4 Pole
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Post subject: Re: Monday Philly Race 1 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 12:58 pm |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 1:21 pm Posts: 71536
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Cheap crap racing for sure, Tim, but a tough card nonetheless.
1/8 Pole just rolled in from Roscoe and just rolled out again to load up the OTB account so we'll be firing from two accounts today.
_________________ The race doesn't always go to the swift and the strong but that's the way to bet.
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1/4 Pole
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Post subject: Re: Monday Philly Race 1 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 1:12 pm |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 1:21 pm Posts: 71536
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I understand the difference between restricted claimers with time contraints and those that are non-restricted but I don't see them as a huge "class" difference in most cases. It tickles my kidneys that CAROLUS MAGNUS just got blasted with a huge amount of $$$ to to knock him to 6/5.
_________________ The race doesn't always go to the swift and the strong but that's the way to bet.
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1/4 Pole
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Post subject: Re: Monday Philly Race 1 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 1:20 pm |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 1:21 pm Posts: 71536
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1/8 Pole just phoned so that I could lay in his OTB DD action on-line for track prices.
His DD went: 1-3/2-5
Mine went: 1-7/2-5
P3: 3/5/1-6
_________________ The race doesn't always go to the swift and the strong but that's the way to bet.
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1/4 Pole
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Post subject: Re: Monday Philly Race 1 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 1:23 pm |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 1:21 pm Posts: 71536
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Zacta Zoomer with MAGNUS on the drift.
Ex: 4/1-3-6-7
_________________ The race doesn't always go to the swift and the strong but that's the way to bet.
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Jeebs
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Post subject: Re: Monday Philly Race 1 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 1:24 pm |
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Joined: Thu May 28, 2009 7:08 pm Posts: 2191
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ex 2-4-7/1-2-3-4-7
Let's get a number home... good luck.
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1/4 Pole
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Post subject: Re: Monday Philly Race 1 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 1:29 pm |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 1:21 pm Posts: 71536
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LUMP HOME!!!
This card is so screwed up the Lump is going to pay 7/2 off the 8/1 morning line.
_________________ The race doesn't always go to the swift and the strong but that's the way to bet.
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Jeebs
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Post subject: Re: Monday Philly Race 1 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 1:31 pm |
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Joined: Thu May 28, 2009 7:08 pm Posts: 2191
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Sometimes, even a minscule profit is a good thing. I'll take it and move on.
It's too bad the lump got pounded. We'll get a number somewhere.
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1/4 Pole
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Post subject: Re: Monday Philly Race 1 Posted: Mon Apr 11, 2011 1:34 pm |
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Joined: Tue May 19, 2009 1:21 pm Posts: 71536
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I saw a lot of potential for some numbers to land today today but I wear glasses.
_________________ The race doesn't always go to the swift and the strong but that's the way to bet.
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